أثر عرض النقود على العجز المزدوج في السودان خلال الفترة (1996-2014م)
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Date
2017
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Publisher
Université de M'sila
Abstract
This paper aims to explain the effect of money supply
on public budget deficit in Sudan, during (1996 – 2014).
The study used the statistic methods which deal with the
nature and characteristics of time series in order to
specify the relationship between the variables. Unit root
test, co-integration and the estimated model are used to
study the variable for the long and short term.
The result of unit root test reveals that the
variables of the study are stable at 5% level of
significance, while, the exchange rate deficit is stable in
first difference at 5% level of significance. The public
deficit is stable in 2nd difference 5% level of significance.
Through Co-integration, regression, it is clear
that the Budget Deficit (BD) and (BP) are affected by the
long term.
The result of estimated model reveals that the
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and exchange rate (EX)
has more effects in short term as a result of economic
reformation.